Two years after a disastrous war in Ethiopia’s Tigray, internal tussles as well as related tensions between Addis Ababa and Asmara threaten to reignite conflict. All with influence should urge the two countries to exercise restraint and avoid adding to the Horn of Africa’s troubles.
This week on The Horn, Alan talks with Crisis Group’s Somalia expert Omar Mahmood about what the impact of a major Trump pivot on Somalia could look like, as well as Al-Shabaab’s new offensive and the recent thaw in Ethiopia-Somalia relations.
Originally published in The Continent
This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Haiti, Iran, Somalia and Syria, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
This week on The Horn, Alan speaks with Michael Woldemariam, associate professor at the University of Maryland, about the escalating tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea, the political crisis in Tigray and whether a renewed outbreak of war can still be averted.
Tensions are running dangerously high after an opposition-linked militia overran an army base loyal to President Salva Kiir in South Sudan’s Upper Nile state. Regional leaders should urgently press Kiir and Vice President Riek Machar, who has ties to the militia, to calm the situation.
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group experts Shewit Woldemichael and Alan Boswell about the Sudanese army’s recent advances in Khartoum and other parts of Sudan, and what they mean for the war’s trajectory and prospects for diplomacy.
The Sudanese army is pushing to take over Khartoum. Should it prevail, it would record a major victory, though one that would be unlikely to end the country’s devastating conflict. Mediators should keep exploring openings for peace talks.
Dans cet épisode d’Afrique 360°, Enrica Picco et Rinaldo Depagne reçoivent Onesphore Sematumba, analyste senior pour la République Démocratique du Congo (RDC) et le Burundi à International Crisis Group, et Trésor Kibangula, directeur du pilier politique du think tank Ebuteli, pour parler de l'avancée des rebelles du M23 dans l’est de la RDC et des risques d’une escalade régionale du conflit.
Originally published in Mondafrique
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