A mass-casualty incident near Kabul on 16 March marks a significant escalation in hostilities between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban. More fighting promises nothing but more death, displacement and economic damage. Friendly countries should work together to bring the sides back to the negotiating table.
Israel and Hizbollah are once again fighting head to head, with disastrous repercussions for Lebanon. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Heiko Wimmen, David Wood and Max Rodenbeck consider what might come next.
A joint U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran, followed by Iranian retaliation against U.S. military assets, Israel and other U.S. allies, has engulfed much of the Middle East in conflict. Crisis Group experts offer a 360-degree view of the new war’s initial reverberations in the region.
Crisis Group expert Matt Wheeler assesses the importance of Sanae Takaichi’s forthcoming visit to the White House, amid war, tensions with China and U.S. policy shifts
CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories. Building on our global conflict tracker, On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
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If the situation [in Lebanon] continues, there is a real risk of sectarian tensions escalating.
Neither [Iran or the U.S.] has shown they are ready to climb off the escalation ladder and it could get far worse.
[in Iran,] the Revolutionary Guard is the state now.
The Iranian leadership is nowhere near the brink of collapse.
Without a cease-fire [between Afghanistan and Pakistan], the situation risks escalating further, with civilians likely to bear the brunt.
With every assassination, Iran moves further away from democratic opening and closer to either praetorian rule or state collapse.
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