South Asia

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker
View Latest Edition

World map showing this month's update of CrisisWatch

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories. Building on our global conflict tracker, On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months in support of global conflict prevention efforts.

Learn more about CrisisWatch

Trends for Last Month February 2026

Improved Situations

Bangladesh

Outlook for This Month March 2026

Conflict in Focus

None

Resolution Opportunities

Western Sahara

In The News

18 Mar 2026
Without a cease-fire [between Afghanistan and Pakistan], the situation risks escalating further, with civilians likely to bear the brunt. New York Times

Ibraheem Bahiss

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
12 Feb 2026
This is the first credible election [Bangladesh] held in 17 years so it’s incredibly significant. People are eager to have the chance to vote after so long. The Guardian

Thomas Kean

Senior Consultant, Myanmar & Bangladesh
11 Feb 2026
The crucial test for Bangladesh now will be to ensure the election is conducted fairly and impartially, and for all parties to then accept the result. Reuters

Thomas Kean

Senior Consultant, Myanmar & Bangladesh
10 Feb 2026
India and China will try to outdo each other in this race for influence, and Bangladesh will try to make the most out of it. Mint

Praveen Donthi

Senior Analyst, India
4 Feb 2026
If the [Bangladeshi election] result is contested, it could spiral into a political crisis, testing the fragile consensus that has underpinned the transition The Financial Express

Thomas Kean

Senior Consultant, Myanmar & Bangladesh
27 Jan 2026
This momentum that we've seen [between India and the EU] is all thanks to [U.S.] President Trump. CBC News

Praveen Donthi

Senior Analyst, India

Latest Updates

Our People

Samina Ahmed

Project Director, South Asia and Senior Asia Adviser

Ibraheem Bahiss

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan

Praveen Donthi

Senior Analyst, India

Alan Keenan

Senior Consultant, Sri Lanka
Alan Keenan

Subscribe to Crisis Group’s Email Updates

Receive the best source of conflict analysis right in your inbox.