Ringing the alarm bell has been at the core of Crisis Group’s mission since its inception in 1995. We have called for action to prevent deadly violence, mass atrocities and political destabilisation. Through a range of tools and publications – including CrisisWatch our monthly global conflict tracker – and targeted engagement at the local, regional and global levels, we strive to alert the policy community on upcoming risks and potential opportunities for conflict resolution in some 70 conflicts, crises and vulnerable countries.
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This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Benin, Colombia, Ethiopia and Israel/Palestine, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
For all queries relating to Crisis Group's early-warning work, please write to the Research Unit at [email protected].
This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Bangladesh, DR Congo, Lebanon and South Sudan, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Burkina Faso, Iraq, the Korean Peninsula and the Taiwan Strait, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Haiti, Iran, Somalia and Syria, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Myanmar, the South China Sea, Sudan and Yemen, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
This speech was presented at a symposium on “Predictive Synergies: Crisis Early Warning and Foresight”, hosted by the Centre for Crisis Early Warning at Munich’s University of the Bundeswehr on 19 September 2024. It has been slightly adapted for publication.
On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
Disputes over water in the northern tip of Cameroon turned deadly in 2021, taking on a troubling ethnic dimension. The authorities have striven to contain the fighting, but to be sure of preventing a recurrence, they need to address the conflict at its roots.
The Israeli military campaign in the Gaza Strip has pushed many of its residents to the edge of death from starvation and disease. Only a prolonged ceasefire accompanied by a massive aid operation can improve the situation enough to avoid a horrific toll.
Israel's alliance with Morocco could mean that in the long-term Rabat becomes militarily superior to Algiers and dominant in the region.
[Somalia’s election impasse] comes down to unresolved internal political tensions, but also a lack of preparation and political will.
The question is whether [the insurgency in northern Mozambique] can be nipped in the bud at this juncture without spreading further.
We are a step away from a large-scale war (between Armenia and Azerbaijan).
The history in Colombia is when you start a wave of violence it accelerates and it’s very hard to stop.
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