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Behind the Saudi-Emirati Rift

This week on The Horn, Alan speaks with Middle East expert and geopolitical analyst H. A. Hellyer about the Saudi-UAE rivalry, how it plays out in Sudan and Yemen, and prospects for a détente.

The US and Israel are waging war on an Iran they think they know. The reality is very different

Is the Islamic Republic a messianic theocracy or a brittle dictatorship? It’s neither – as those attacking it are finding out

Originally published in The Guardian

As Tensions Mount, Sudan Accuses Ethiopia of New Hostilities

Crisis Group expert Alan Boswell assesses the fallout following Sudanese army claims that Ethiopia has staged cross-border attacks on Sudanese territory

Fool’s Errands

What will come of the US igniting yet another war in the Middle East?

Originally published in The New York Review of Books

A 360° Crisis Briefing on the U.S., Israel and Iran

In this online event, Crisis Group experts discussed the latest developments on the U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran and Tehran’s counterstrikes, examined plausible pathways toward further escalation, and explored what diplomatic off-ramps are available to de-escalate and prevent a wider, protracted war.

Op-Ed / United States

One Man’s War

How Constraints on the U.S. President’s War-Making Authority Eroded—and How to Restore Them

Originally published in Foreign Affairs

Op-Ed / United States

Operation Epic Fury and the Law

Preventing unlawful wars waged by presidents will require both legislative and political action.

Originally published in THE CONTRARIAN

UN Security Council Members Limit Criticism of U.S. over Iran

Crisis Group expert Richard Gowan summarises the main takeaways from the Security Council emergency session on U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran

Hunger in Havana: Can the U.S. Cutoff Bring Change to Cuba?

Cuba is facing its biggest humanitarian crisis and the greatest threat to its political status quo in decades, after the U.S. clamped down on its energy supply. In this Q&A, Crisis Group explains the causes of the island’s predicament and offers ways of easing it. 

Commentary / Asia-Pacific

The Three-body Problem in the Taiwan Strait

The status quo in the Taiwan Strait is looking precarious, with Beijing flexing its muscles, Taipei mired in political discord and Washington sending mixed signals about its policy. All parties should avoid taking provocative actions ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump’s scheduled trip to Beijing.

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