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This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Benin, Colombia, Ethiopia and Israel/Palestine, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.

This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Bangladesh, DR Congo, Lebanon and South Sudan, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.

This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Burkina Faso, Iraq, the Korean Peninsula and the Taiwan Strait, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.

This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Haiti, Iran, Somalia and Syria, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.

This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Myanmar, the South China Sea, Sudan and Yemen, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.

This speech was presented at a symposium on “Predictive Synergies: Crisis Early Warning and Foresight”, hosted by the Centre for Crisis Early Warning at Munich’s University of the Bundeswehr on 19 September 2024. It has been slightly adapted for publication.

On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.

Disputes over water in the northern tip of Cameroon turned deadly in 2021, taking on a troubling ethnic dimension. The authorities have striven to contain the fighting, but to be sure of preventing a recurrence, they need to address the conflict at its roots. 

The Israeli military campaign in the Gaza Strip has pushed many of its residents to the edge of death from starvation and disease. Only a prolonged ceasefire accompanied by a massive aid operation can improve the situation enough to avoid a horrific toll.

This edition includes entries on Cameroon, South Sudan, Venezuela and Western Sahara, offering a snapshot into emergent conflicts and crises in the next three to six months in a clear, accessible format, identifying triggers, key dates to watch and potential behaviour of conflict actors, to support global conflict prevention efforts.