This week on The Horn, Alan speaks with Middle East expert and geopolitical analyst H. A. Hellyer about the Saudi-UAE rivalry, how it plays out in Sudan and Yemen, and prospects for a détente.
CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories. Building on our global conflict tracker, On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
Afghanistan Chad Cuba Ethiopia Iran Iraq Israel/Palestine Kyrgyzstan Mexico Nigeria Pakistan Saudi Arabia Zimbabwe
Bangladesh
None
Afghanistan Cuba Cyprus Democratic Republic of Congo Eritrea Ethiopia Iran Iraq Israel/Palestine Lebanon Pakistan Saudi Arabia Yemen
Western Sahara
What the youth is really asking and why people are frustrated is because this is not an African Union for citizens. It’s not a people-driven African Union.
The rivalry between Saudi and UAE is now intermittently intertwined with the rivalry between Somaliland and Somalia.
The mobilization on both sides raises fears that the situation [in South Sudan] could spiral out of control.
It is now indisputable: South Sudan has returned to war. It is incredibly tragic for a country that only grows weaker and poorer.
One result of Israel’s recognition of Somaliland is bound to be greater external involvement in Somalia by those opposed in reaction
Ethiopia only promised recognition [of Somaliland]. Israel went ahead and did it, and that raises the stakes.
Dans cet épisode d’Afrique 360°, Enrica Picco et Rinaldo Depagne reçoivent Marc-Antoine Pérouse de Montclos, directeur de recherche à l’Institut de recherche pour le développement. Avec lui, ils reviennent sur la dégradation de la situation sécuritaire au Nigeria, où les groupes armés multiplient les attaques dans tout le nord du pays, sans que les forces de sécurité semblent en mesure de les freiner.
This week on The Horn, Alan speaks with Moses Chrispus Okello, Senior Researcher at ISS Africa, about what connects the various conflicts in the Horn of Africa together, from deepening internal fragmentation and growing external involvement to a renewed fixation on geography and history.
The U.S.-Israeli war with Iran is entering its third week, with no end yet in sight. Crisis Group experts offer a 360-degree view of its effects on peace, security and economic stability around the world.
Yet the Iran crisis may push Gulf rivals to set aside their differences and revive stalled diplomacy on Sudan.
Originally published in Al Jazeera
Crisis Group expert Alan Boswell assesses the fallout following Sudanese army claims that Ethiopia has staged cross-border attacks on Sudanese territory
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s Africa director Murithi Mutiga about the mounting tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea, political fractures in Ethiopia’s northern Tigray region and the risk of further escalation in the Horn.
Crisis Group expert Pauline Bax describes the diplomatic fallout of revelations that employment agencies across Africa have lured men into joining the Russian side in the war in Ukraine
This edition of On the Horizon includes entries on Benin, Colombia, Ethiopia and Israel/Palestine, sounding the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate in the next three to six months. It identifies key actors and dates to watch in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
Receive the best source of conflict analysis right in your inbox.
This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Review our privacy policy for more details.