Ethnic, political and sectarian rivalries, jihadist groups, criminality and heavy-handed security policies are turning Pakistan's biggest city into a pressure cooker of tensions. Feuding politicians must set aside their conflicts or Karachi's law-and-order crisis may further worsen.
From Turkey to Mexico, the world’s most volatile flashpoints will get a lot more unpredictable this year.
Wars can be prevented or mitigated by early, clear and well-designed political and diplomatic engagement. Yet policymakers are increasingly stretched by a myriad of global crises. Refocusing on knowledge, relationships, frameworks, strategic communication and pathways to peace is crucial to limiting and resolving the world’s current upsurge in deadly conflict.
Preventing election violence in Nigeria
Plagued by violence, corruption and economic hardship, and exposed to a long, insecure border with Afghanistan, Tajikistan is under dangerous stress. President Rahmon’s autocratic undermining of the 1997 peace agreement is fostering Islamic radicalisation. As Tajikistan’s growing fragility impacts a brittle region, the country must become a conflict-prevention priority.
From Syria to the South China Sea, the conflicts and crises the world will face in the coming year.
This early-warning report identifies ten conflict situations in which prompt action by the European Union and its member states, as well as other international and regional actors, would generate stronger prospects for peace.
Crisis Group's Senior Nigeria analyst Nnamdi Obasi explains the risk of violence around the 2015 elections in Nigeria.
Nigeria’s politics is sliding dangerously towards violence before, during and after the February 2015 elections. With only three months to the polls, mitigating bloodshed requires urgent improvements in security and electoral arrangements, as well as in political mind-sets.
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