Israel and Hizbollah are once again fighting head to head, with disastrous repercussions for Lebanon. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Heiko Wimmen, David Wood and Max Rodenbeck consider what might come next.
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Neither [Iran or the U.S.] has shown they are ready to climb off the escalation ladder and it could get far worse.
If the situation [in Lebanon] continues, there is a real risk of sectarian tensions escalating.
[in Iran,] the Revolutionary Guard is the state now.
The Iranian leadership is nowhere near the brink of collapse.
[Palestinians in the West Bank] are being treated as an enemy population, and collectively punished [by Israel].
With every assassination, Iran moves further away from democratic opening and closer to either praetorian rule or state collapse.
Originally published in London Review of Books
Originally published in Just Security
The secretary of defense is a military leader in the chain of command. Whether Hegseth appreciates it or not, his words alone have legal significance.
Originally published in MS NOW
Yemen has a new government, formed after elements of the old one clashed on the battlefield. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Ahmed Nagi looks at its makeup and its prospects against the backdrop of Middle East war that may draw in the Houthi rebels.
While the U.S. and Israel have damaged Iran in the Middle East war, Tehran has expanded the conflict. With neither side positioned for a decisive win, the escalation risks are sobering. Diplomacy is crucial to prevent renewed hostilities, but an immediate ceasefire is the priority.
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s former President Robert Malley about the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, whether U.S. President Donald Trump will escalate or seek an off-ramp and what Iran might do. He also talks to Crisis Group’s Lebanon expert David Wood about the latest Israel-Hizbollah war.
The U.S.-Israeli war with Iran is entering its third week, with no end yet in sight. Crisis Group experts offer a 360-degree view of its effects on peace, security and economic stability around the world.
Originally published in The New York Times
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